How to use this guide
A statistical test helps decide whether sample evidence is compatible with a stated claim about a population. A good analysis starts before the calculation: define the question, collect suitable data, choose a method and explain what the result can and cannot establish.
This guide follows the supplied MGU syllabus, including its stated scope. It does not claim that practice questions are actual or guaranteed MGU examination questions. The course has a 50-mark theory ESE and a 35-mark practical evaluation, plus CCA components. The syllabus specifies a practical record with a minimum of five problems.
Course outcomes in plain English
- Understand research methods used in social science.
- Apply statistical testing procedures and analyse results.
- Illustrate parametric tests and describe non-parametric tests.
- Conduct a social survey and analyse it using R, Python or a spreadsheet.
Course concept map and study priorities
→ QUESTIONNAIRE / SURVEY → DESCRIPTIVE SUMMARY → RESEARCH REPORT
POPULATION CLAIM → PARAMETER / STATISTIC → H₀ / H₁
→ TEST STATISTIC → NULL DISTRIBUTION → p-VALUE OR CRITICAL REGION
→ DECISION AT SIGNIFICANCE LEVEL → INTERPRETATION & LIMITATION
STUDY DESIGN + DATA TYPE + ASSUMPTIONS → CHOOSE PARAMETRIC / NON-PARAMETRIC TEST
→ COMPUTE → REPORT → CHECK CONCLUSION IN CONTEXT
MUST MASTER: hypothesis-test logic and error interpretation; the listed z, t, paired t and one-way ANOVA procedures; chi-square and listed rank/sign/median tests; survey design and practical analysis. These link directly to course outcomes and assessment.
IMPORTANT: research design, qualitative/quantitative approaches, sampling, data collection, proposal/report writing, p-value, power and critical region.
QUICK-SCORE: definitions, distinctions (parameter/statistic; H₀/H₁; Type I/II), assumptions, test purpose and correct conclusion wording.
Priorities reflect syllabus hours, outcomes and assessment; they are not a marks prediction.
Suggested study time: three theory modules plus 30 practical hours are specified. Plan survey and software work throughout the semester; do not leave the five-problem minimum record until the end.
Introduction to research methodology
You will learn: research design; qualitative and quantitative research; data collection and sampling; proposal writing and research communication; applying research methods to real-world social issues.
Why it matters: statistics cannot repair a poorly framed question or biased data. Sound design makes results more useful and credible.
Concept path: define issue → ask focused question → choose design → identify population/sample → collect data → summarise → interpret and report.
1.1 Research design; qualitative and quantitative research
A research design is the plan for answering a research question: who or what will be studied, what information will be collected, and how it will be analysed.
| Approach | Focus | Example |
|---|---|---|
| Qualitative | Meanings, experiences, explanations, often expressed in words | Interviews about why students choose a bus route |
| Quantitative | Measurements or counts analysed numerically | Surveying travel time and transport costs |
A study can use more than one kind of information, but the method must match the question. “What proportion…?” usually needs quantitative data; “How do students describe…?” may need qualitative data.
1.2 Data collection and sampling
Data can be collected using questionnaires, interviews, observation, records or other suitable methods. Sampling selects units from a target population. Use the methods taught in earlier courses where relevant, and explain how the selection process relates to the research question.
A sampling frame is the practical list or source from which a sample is selected. A mismatch between the target population and the frame can leave some people out or over-represent others.
1.3 Research reporting and proposal writing
A research proposal explains what the study will ask and how it will be carried out. A clear proposal commonly contains:
- Title and short background to the issue.
- Specific problem statement and research question(s).
- Objectives; define key terms or study variables.
- Target population, sampling approach and proposed sample.
- Data collection instrument/procedure.
- Planned summaries or statistical analysis.
- Practical schedule, limitations and references as directed.
A research report communicates what was done and found. Present tables/diagrams with titles and units; distinguish results from interpretation; state limitations; keep the conclusion tied to the evidence.
1.4 Apply methods to a social issue
Module 1 recap
10 core ideas: research question; design; qualitative data; quantitative data; target population; sample; data collection; questionnaire; analysis plan; report and limitation.
Key terms: research design, objective, population, sample, sampling frame, questionnaire, variable, response, analysis, report.
Expected / Exam-Focused Questions based on the syllabus: distinguish qualitative and quantitative research; outline a research proposal; discuss data collection and sampling for a social issue; design a basic social survey.
Self-test: (1) Turn “students are stressed” into a focused research question. (2) Name two quantitative variables for a transport survey. (3) Why can a convenience sample mislead? (4) List the main parts of a proposal.
Testing of hypothesis
You will learn: parameter and statistic; simple/composite and null/alternative hypotheses; errors and significance level; p-value and power; testing procedure and critical region.
Why it matters: sample results vary by chance. Hypothesis testing gives a structured way to judge whether observed evidence would be unusual under a claim.
2.1 Parameter and statistic
A parameter is a numerical feature of a population, such as population mean μ. A statistic is calculated from a sample, such as sample mean x̄, and is used to learn about the parameter.
2.2 Statistical hypotheses
A statistical hypothesis is a claim about a population distribution or parameter. A simple hypothesis specifies the distribution/parameter completely for the test; a composite hypothesis allows a set of possible values.
The null hypothesis H₀ is the reference claim tested. The alternative hypothesis H₁ describes a departure of interest. For a mean, a two-sided test might use H₀: μ=μ₀ against H₁: μ≠μ₀. A one-sided alternative must be selected from the research question before examining the result.
2.3 Errors and significance level
| Reality / decision | Do not reject H₀ | Reject H₀ |
|---|---|---|
| H₀ true | Correct decision | Type I error (probability controlled by α) |
| H₀ false | Type II error (probability β) | Correct decision |
The significance level α is the chosen maximum long-run Type I error probability under the test procedure. It is selected before seeing the result; for example α=0.05 is a common convention, not a guarantee about an individual result.
Power is the probability the test rejects H₀ for a specified alternative when that alternative is true: power=1−β. Power depends on effect size, variability, sample size and α.
2.4 p-value, testing procedure and critical region
The p-value is the probability, assuming H₀ and the test model are true, of obtaining a test statistic at least as incompatible with H₀ as the observed one, in the direction(s) specified by H₁.
A critical region is the set of test-statistic values leading to rejection of H₀ at the chosen α. The p-value method and critical-region method should give the same decision when applied consistently.
- State H₀ and H₁ in context.
- Choose α and the appropriate test, with assumptions.
- Calculate the test statistic and p-value, or compare with the critical region.
- Reject H₀ or do not reject H₀ according to the rule.
- State a contextual conclusion; distinguish statistical evidence from practical importance.
Module 2 recap
10 core ideas: parameter; statistic; simple hypothesis; composite hypothesis; H₀; H₁; Type I error; Type II error; α/p-value; power/critical region.
Exam-focused questions: distinguish parameter and statistic; explain hypotheses; compare the two errors; define significance level, p-value and power; outline a test procedure and decision rule.
Self-test: (1) Is x̄ a parameter or statistic? (2) What does α limit? (3) If p=0.03 and α=0.05, what decision is made? (4) Does that prove H₁? (5) What does power measure?
*The attached syllabus lists Module 2 as 10 hours; its sub-unit hours total 15. Confirm the intended allocation with the lecturer.
Parametric and non-parametric tests
You will learn: large-sample z tests; one-sample, two-sample and paired t tests; one-way ANOVA; chi-square test for association of attributes; sign, median and Wilcoxon ranked tests (simple problems); applications.
Choose a test by asking: what parameter/question? how many groups or measurements? independent or paired? numerical or categorical data? which assumptions are reasonable?
3.1 Large-sample z test for one mean and two means
For one population mean with known population SD σ (or the large-sample approximation taught in class), compare the sample mean with the hypothesised μ₀.
x̄ is sample mean; μ₀ is the null value; σ is population SD; n is sample size. The standard error σ/√n describes sample-mean variation under the model.
For equality of two independent means, the large-sample z statistic is commonly:
Δ₀ is the hypothesised difference (usually 0 for equality); use sample SDs in the large-sample version if that is the class convention. The groups must be independent.
3.2 Small-sample t tests
One-sample t test: tests a population mean when σ is unknown using sample SD s, under the model assumptions taught (commonly an approximately normal population for small samples).
Two independent means: when using the pooled equal-variance procedure, calculate pooled variance and standard error:
Degrees of freedom are n₁+n₂−2 for this pooled procedure. Use it only when the equal-variance assumption and course procedure are appropriate; follow the method prescribed by your lecturer.
Paired t test: use when the same units are measured twice or observations are naturally paired. Calculate differences dᵢ first, then test their mean.
3.3 One-way ANOVA
Analysis of variance (ANOVA) compares means of three or more groups by comparing variation between groups with variation within groups. The one-way version has one grouping factor.
k is number of groups; N is total observations. H₀ says all group means are equal; H₁ says at least one differs. A significant result does not by itself identify which groups differ. Typical assumptions: independent observations, approximately normal errors within groups and similar variances.
3.4 Chi-square test for association of attributes
For categorical data in a contingency table, the chi-square test compares observed cell counts O with counts E expected if the two attributes are independent.
A large discrepancy between observed and expected counts gives evidence against independence. Check that observations are counted once and expected counts are suitable for the approximation as taught in class.
3.5 Sign, median and Wilcoxon ranked tests
These non-parametric procedures use signs, ranks or counts rather than relying on the same mean/normal model as a t test. The syllabus limits these to simple problems.
- Sign test: for paired differences, count positive and negative signs; ignore zero differences. Under a no-median-difference null, positive/negative signs are equally likely (p=0.5), subject to the test setup.
- Median test: compare groups by classifying observations above/below a pooled median and examining the resulting counts.
- Wilcoxon ranked test: rank-based procedure. The syllabus does not specify which Wilcoxon variant; common introductory paired use is the signed-rank test. Confirm the exact variant and steps with the lecturer, and practise only the simple problems required.
3.6 Applications across fields
Tests can support decisions in education, health, agriculture, business and social research. State the population, outcome and comparison clearly. A test result does not replace study design, subject knowledge or an effect-size/context discussion.
Module 3 recap
Key ideas: z single/two means; one-sample t; independent two-sample t; paired t; one-way ANOVA; chi-square association; sign, median and Wilcoxon rank-based procedures.
Self-test: (1) Which test for before/after scores on the same students? (2) What does significant one-way ANOVA conclude? (3) What are expected cell counts under independence? (4) What does a sign test retain from each difference? (5) What does a p-value decision require besides p?
Data analysis using R, spreadsheet or Python
Required practicals: conduct a social survey and prepare a project report; analyse and interpret a social problem using spreadsheet, Python or R. Submit a practical record with at least five problems.
Why it matters: practical analysis connects research questions, real data, statistical methods and communication.
Survey and project workflow
- Choose a feasible social issue and write a specific question and objective.
- Define target population, unit of observation and sampling method.
- Prepare a clear questionnaire; pilot/check wording and response options.
- Collect and enter data consistently; document coding and missing responses.
- Summarise with descriptive statistics, tables, diagrams and geographical representation as appropriate.
- Choose a statistical analysis that matches the question and variables.
- Interpret the output in context, note limitations and prepare the report.
Minimum five practical record ideas
- Create a questionnaire and codebook for a small social survey.
- Enter survey data and produce frequency tables and descriptive statistics.
- Create labelled diagrams and a geographical representation suited to the data available.
- Use a suitable z or t procedure on a provided or collected data set; document assumptions and interpretation.
- Analyse a paired or multiple-group question using a paired t test or one-way ANOVA as appropriate.
- Analyse categorical association using a contingency table and chi-square procedure.
- Complete a simple sign, median or Wilcoxon rank-based problem.
- Prepare a concise project report explaining research question, method, results and limitations.
Choose at least five in coordination with your course requirements. For every record problem include: question, data, method, software/function or calculation, output, check, interpretation and conclusion.
Software-independent checking habits
- Keep a clean copy of raw data and document recoding.
- Check sample size, missing values, units and group labels.
- Match the test to independent/paired design and outcome type.
- Verify test direction, degrees of freedom and significance level.
- Report the statistic, degrees of freedom where relevant, p-value/decision, and context.
- Reproduce key values with a hand calculation or second method where practical.
Practical/viva prompts
- What was your target population and how was the sample chosen?
- How did you code responses and handle missing values?
- Why is the selected test appropriate for the design?
- What are H₀ and H₁ for your analysis?
- What conclusion follows from the output, and what does not follow?
- What limitation should a reader know?
Test formula sheet
Standard errors and test statistics
One-mean z: z=(x̄−μ₀)/(σ/√n)
Two-independent-means z: z=[(x̄₁−x̄₂)−Δ₀]/√(σ₁²/n₁+σ₂²/n₂)
One-sample t: t=(x̄−μ₀)/(s/√n), df=n−1
Paired t: t=(d̄−d₀)/(sᵈ/√n), df=n−1
Pooled two-sample t: sₚ²=[(n₁−1)s₁²+(n₂−1)s₂²]/(n₁+n₂−2); t=[(x̄₁−x̄₂)−Δ₀]/[sₚ√(1/n₁+1/n₂)]
One-way ANOVA: F=MSB/MSW; df between=k−1; df within=N−k
Association and decision reminders
Expected count: Eᵢⱼ=(row total×column total)/grand total
Chi-square: χ²=Σ(O−E)²/E; df=(r−1)(c−1)
These are reminders, not substitutes for assumptions and test selection. For a numerical response show hypotheses, α, formula, substitution, statistic, decision and contextual interpretation.